The expert is the shaman of our time. The expert offers a guiding arm, steering us through bustling and confusing crowds of information. Experts help us understand complex issues. Experts teach us. Experts help us make choices. Experts help us solve problems. But can we rely on them?
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In the last week or so, the International Monetary Fund released another of its major economic outlook statements. Business and financial media all over the world earnestly pored over the numbers as if the future had been foretold by some all-knowing wizard. The strong sense was that, with this new-found certainty, decisions could finally be [...]
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